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North Texas Mean Green v Santa Clara Broncos

2026-11-12 01:00 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Texas Mean Green (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%49.74%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.891.871.9554.05%53.05%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Santa Clara Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.26%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.861.861.9154.64%53.65%53.76%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: North Texas Mean Green (Local): 50.00%; Santa Clara Broncos (Visit): 50.00%. For North Texas Mean Green (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.95, with an expected value of -2.50%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-10 22:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-10 22:45
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 22:45
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-10 22:44
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-10 22:45
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-11 00:00
picklebet_au🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-10 22:45
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-10 22:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-10 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-10 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-11-11 00:45
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 47.83%1.43I 69.93%NM 52.17%34.0%2026-11-11 00:45

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