Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Texas Mean Green v Rice Owls

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Texas Mean Green (Local)

Prediction 71.65%1.40fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -7.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.52%71.51%71.70%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.331.3676.92%75.25%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rice Owls (Visit)

Prediction 28.35%3.53fair odd
EV -0.760%
Edge -0.217%
Kelly -0.304%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%28.49%28.30%31.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.963.293.303.5033.78%30.39%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Texas Mean Green (Local): 71.65%; Rice Owls (Visit): 28.35%. For Rice Owls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -0.760%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.56%E -1.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 23:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -2.56%E -1.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -16.07%E -5.43%K -8.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.28%E -2.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:25
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.28%E -2.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.28%E -2.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:15
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.28%E -2.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.28%E -2.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:15
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.28%E -2.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.28%E -2.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.28%E -2.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.28%E -2.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:15
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.99%E -2.98%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:30
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.99%E -2.98%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 23:15
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.99%E -2.98%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 23:08
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.67%EV -3.99%E -2.98%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.33%EV -3.88%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 23:45
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.99%E -2.98%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 22:20
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -3.99%E -2.98%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -3.99%E -2.98%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -3.99%E -2.98%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 23:15
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.71%E -3.54%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.760%E -0.217%K -0.304%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 22:20
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.71%E -3.54%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.760%E -0.217%K -0.304%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 22:20
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.71%E -3.54%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.18%E -0.631%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 23:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.71%E -3.54%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.18%E -0.631%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.71%E -3.54%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.18%E -0.631%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 22:20
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.71%E -3.54%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.71%E -3.54%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 00:05
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.71%E -3.54%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.71%E -3.54%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.43%E -4.11%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.14%E -4.69%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.760%E -0.217%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 00:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.14%E -4.69%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.760%E -0.217%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 22:20
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.14%E -4.69%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.760%E -0.217%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 23:15
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.14%E -4.69%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.760%E -0.217%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 22:18
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.14%E -4.69%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -2.18%E -0.631%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:35
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -6.14%E -4.69%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -4.16%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 23:15
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.86%E -5.28%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 23:15
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.86%E -5.28%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 22:20
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.86%E -5.28%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 23:14
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.86%E -5.28%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 23:15
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.86%E -5.28%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 23:15
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.86%E -5.28%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.85%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 23:20
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.86%E -5.28%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.86%E -5.28%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.10%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 22:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.37I 72.99%NM 72.92%3.69I 27.10%NM 27.08%0.1%2026-03-05 00:40
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-03-05 00:35
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-05 00:35
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-03-05 00:50
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%3.2%2026-03-05 00:30