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North Texas Mean Green v Florida Atlantic Owls
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
North Texas Mean Green (Local)
Prediction 56.87%1.76fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -4.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.29%56.85%56.85%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7062.50%59.97%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit)
Prediction 43.13%2.32fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.919%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.15%43.15%44.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.212.222.2747.85%45.30%45.05%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Texas Mean Green (Local): 56.87%; Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit): 43.13%. For Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.27, with an expected value of -2.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 20:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.97%E -2.74%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 20:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 20:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 20:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 20:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 20:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 20:28 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -9.85%E -4.71%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 20:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.09%E -0.919%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.09%E -0.919%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 20:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.38%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 20:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 20:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 20:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 20:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 20:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 20:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 20:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 20:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 20:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 20:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 20:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 20:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%EV -8.12%E -3.81%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 20:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.60%E -3.38%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 15:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 15:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 20:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -7.69%E -3.59%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.56%E -4.04%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.56%E -4.04%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 20:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.31%E -4.48%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 07:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 05:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.01%E -5.63%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-22 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.01%E -5.63%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-22 20:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14% | -0.1% | 2026-02-22 20:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54% | 1.8% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |