Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Texas Mean Green v Florida Atlantic Owls

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 01:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Texas Mean Green (Local)

Prediction 53.29%1.88fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.764%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.46%53.11%53.29%54.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.801.8557.80%55.72%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit)

Prediction 46.71%2.14fair odd
EV -0.508%
Edge -0.238%
Kelly -0.449%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.10%46.89%46.71%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.931.991.982.1351.81%50.16%50.51%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Texas Mean Green (Local): 53.29%; Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit): 46.71%. For Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.13, with an expected value of -0.508%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.41%E -0.764%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -7.51%E -3.80%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.41%E -0.764%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -7.51%E -3.80%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 01:30
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.41%E -0.764%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.98%E -4.05%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 01:30
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.41%E -0.764%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.98%E -4.05%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 01:30
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.41%E -0.764%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.98%E -4.05%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 01:30
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -1.95%E -1.06%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.45%E -4.31%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 01:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 01:30
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 01:30
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.38%E -4.84%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -3.01%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -9.85%E -5.10%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 01:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -3.01%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -9.85%E -5.10%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 01:29
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.27%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.24%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 01:30
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.27%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.24%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.65%E -2.79%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 01:29
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.91%E -0.909%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -0.508%E -0.238%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:30
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 01:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 01:29
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.28%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 01:29
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -7.81%E -4.51%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -5.65%E -2.79%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 01:30
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.81%E -4.51%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 01:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.81%E -4.51%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 01:30
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.81%E -4.51%K -10.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 01:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-13 01:30
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-03-13 01:30
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%2.0%2026-03-13 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-03-13 01:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-03-13 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-03-13 01:30
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%2.4%2026-03-13 01:29