The School of College Oddsodds.college
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North Florida Ospreys v The Citadel Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-11-14 19:02 UTC

Final: North Florida Ospreys 74–77 The Citadel Bulldogs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Florida Ospreys (Local)

Prediction 60.93%1.64fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.49%61.04%60.95%63.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.541.531.6167.11%64.98%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 39.07%2.56fair odd
EV -0.373%
Edge -0.146%
Kelly -0.241%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.88%38.96%39.05%41.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.452.452.5544.64%40.81%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Florida Ospreys (Local): 60.93%; The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit): 39.07%. For The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -0.373%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -1.90%E -1.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -7.80%E -3.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-14 16:55
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.51%E -1.57%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.19%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-14 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.51%E -1.57%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.19%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-14 18:25
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.12%E -1.96%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-14 18:25
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.12%E -1.96%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-14 18:25
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.12%E -1.96%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.06%E -2.08%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-14 18:59
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -3.12%E -1.96%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -12.48%E -5.57%K -10.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 16:55
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.73%E -2.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.23%E -2.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-14 18:25
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.34%E -2.76%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.373%E -0.146%K -0.241%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-14 16:08
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.34%E -2.76%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.33%E -0.931%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-14 16:09
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.34%E -2.76%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-14 16:20
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.34%E -2.76%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-14 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.34%E -2.76%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-14 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.34%E -2.76%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-14 18:59
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.34%E -2.76%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.19%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -4.34%E -2.76%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -9.75%E -4.22%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-14 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.34%E -2.76%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.09%E -5.38%K -9.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-14 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.95%E -3.17%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.45%E -2.25%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-14 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 16:55
picklebet_au🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 19:00
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -1.94%E -0.771%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-14 16:10
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.33%E -0.931%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-14 14:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-14 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-14 18:59
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-14 19:00
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.60%E -5.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.373%E -0.146%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-14 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.60%E -5.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.373%E -0.146%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-14 13:10
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.60%E -5.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.373%E -0.146%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-14 13:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.60%E -5.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.373%E -0.146%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-14 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.60%E -5.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.373%E -0.146%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-14 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.60%E -5.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.373%E -0.146%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-14 13:10
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.60%E -5.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.373%E -0.146%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-14 13:10
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.60%E -5.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.373%E -0.146%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-14 13:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.60%E -5.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.373%E -0.146%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-14 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.60%E -5.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.33%E -0.931%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 04:04
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.60%E -5.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.60%E -5.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 14:35
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -8.60%E -5.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-14 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.21%E -6.18%K -18.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -0.373%E -0.146%K -0.241%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-14 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.21%E -6.18%K -18.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -0.373%E -0.146%K -0.241%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-14 17:35
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.21%E -6.18%K -18.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -0.373%E -0.146%K -0.241%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-14 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.21%E -6.18%K -18.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -0.373%E -0.146%K -0.241%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-14 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.70%2.61I 38.31%NM 38.30%0.0%2026-11-14 18:25
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-11-14 19:00
ProphetX◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%2.9%2026-11-14 19:00
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%4.9%2026-11-14 19:00
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%4.9%2026-11-14 19:00

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