Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Florida Ospreys v Jacksonville Dolphins

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Florida Ospreys (Local)

Prediction 45.81%2.18fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%45.99%45.75%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.032.042.1052.63%49.20%49.14%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 54.19%1.85fair odd
EV +2.96%
Edge +1.56%
Kelly +3.29%
Growth +0.097%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%54.01%54.25%54.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.771.9058.82%56.33%56.50%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Florida Ospreys (Local): 45.81%; Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit): 54.19%. For Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -12.96%E -6.82%K -14.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +2.96%E +1.56%K +3.29%G +0.097%5.3%2026-02-28 20:49
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:44
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:44
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:44
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.09%E -2.97%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 21:39
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.38%E -4.19%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.38%E -4.19%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:44
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.38%E -4.19%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:44
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.38%E -4.19%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.38%E -4.19%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -9.75%E -4.95%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -3.00%E -1.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 22:44
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.54%E -1.99%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.54%E -1.99%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 21:34
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.80%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.08%E -2.31%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 21:39
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.80%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.08%E -2.31%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 21:34
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.80%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.08%E -2.31%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 21:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.80%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.08%E -2.31%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.80%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.08%E -2.31%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 21:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.80%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.08%E -2.31%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 21:34
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.09%E -2.97%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.08%E -2.31%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 22:44
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.09%E -2.97%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.08%E -2.31%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 21:34
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.09%E -2.97%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.08%E -2.31%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 21:34
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.63%E -2.63%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.09%E -2.97%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.63%E -2.63%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:44
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.09%E -2.97%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 22:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.09%E -2.97%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 22:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.09%E -2.97%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 22:44
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.38%E -4.19%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 21:39
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.09%E -2.97%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.67%E -5.47%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 21:34
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.67%E -5.47%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 21:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.09%E -2.97%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 21:34
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.09%E -2.97%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 22:39
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.09%E -2.97%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 22:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09%-0.1%2026-02-28 22:44
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-02-28 22:19
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-02-28 22:39
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-02-28 22:29
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%3.3%2026-02-28 22:54