Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Dakota St Bison v North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Dakota St Bison (Local)

Prediction 83.86%1.19fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -17.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.30%83.72%84.03%84.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.141.141.1690.09%87.68%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 16.14%6.20fair odd
EV +0.868%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.165%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.31%16.28%15.97%18.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.615.506.2520.00%17.83%18.18%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Dakota St Bison (Local): 83.86%; North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Visit): 16.14%. For North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.20. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.868%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.24%E -4.63%K -40.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +0.868%E +0.139%K +0.165%G +0.001%4.5%2026-03-09 00:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV +0.061%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 00:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV +0.061%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 00:44
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.42%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -0.746%E -0.121%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:55
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.42%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -0.746%E -0.121%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:43
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.17%E -0.528%K -0.633%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:55
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.17%E -0.528%K -0.633%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 21:50
Everygame🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.17%E -0.528%K -0.633%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 21:54
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.17%E -0.528%K -0.633%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 21:49
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.24%E -4.63%K -40.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.17%E -0.528%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.24%E -4.63%K -40.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.17%E -0.528%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:55
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.08%E -5.42%K -50.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.17%E -0.528%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 00:44
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.91%E -6.23%K -62.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.17%E -0.528%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 00:54
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.73%EV -3.56%E -3.10%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.27%EV -4.46%E -0.753%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 00:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.91%E -6.23%K -62.86%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -4.78%E -0.810%K -0.976%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:55
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.39%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.20%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 21:49
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.20%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.20%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 21:49
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.20%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 21:49
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.08%E -5.42%K -50.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -9.62%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 00:54
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.56%E -3.10%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:44
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.08%E -5.42%K -50.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 21:19
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.08%E -5.42%K -50.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 21:19
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.08%E -5.42%K -50.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.08%E -5.42%K -50.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 21:50
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.08%E -5.42%K -50.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.24%E -4.63%K -40.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.56%E -3.10%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 21:53
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.72%E -2.35%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.08%E -3.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 00:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.72%E -2.35%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.08%E -3.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 00:50
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.72%E -2.35%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.08%E -3.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.72%E -2.35%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.08%E -3.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 00:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.72%E -2.35%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.08%E -3.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 00:50
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.72%E -2.35%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.08%E -3.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 00:49
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.72%E -2.35%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.08%E -3.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.72%E -2.35%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.08%E -3.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 00:49
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.72%E -2.35%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.08%E -3.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 00:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.72%E -2.35%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.08%E -3.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 00:49
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -2.72%E -2.35%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -17.69%E -3.47%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -3.56%E -3.10%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -17.69%E -3.47%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 00:49
1xBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -5.24%E -4.63%K -40.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -17.69%E -3.47%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 21:25
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.56%E -3.10%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -19.31%E -3.86%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 22:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.17I 85.47%NM 85.41%6.85I 14.60%NM 14.59%0.1%2026-03-09 00:54
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-03-09 00:00
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-03-09 00:55
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%3.0%2026-03-09 00:45