Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.13
assuming max odds 7.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Dakota St Bison (Local): 85.97%; North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Visit): 14.03%. For North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 7.00, with an expected value of -1.76%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.86%E -2.53%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.86%E -2.53%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.86%E -2.53%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.86%E -2.53%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.86%E -2.53%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.86%E -2.53%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.86%E -2.53%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.86%E -2.53%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.86%E -2.53%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -2.86%E -2.53%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -19.30%E -3.36%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -2.86%E -2.53%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -19.30%E -3.36%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -2.86%E -2.53%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -19.30%E -3.36%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -2.86%E -2.53%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -19.30%E -3.36%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -2.86%E -2.53%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -21.41%E -3.82%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 21:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.07%EV -3.72%E -3.32%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.93%EV -2.89%E -0.417%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.72%E -3.32%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -3.73%E -0.543%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.72%E -3.32%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -3.73%E -0.543%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 15:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.72%E -3.32%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -4.57%E -0.672%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 15:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.72%E -3.32%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -3.72%E -3.32%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -25.62%E -4.83%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.58%E -4.12%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.76%E -0.252%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.58%E -4.12%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.76%E -0.252%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 14:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.58%E -4.12%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.76%E -0.252%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.58%E -4.12%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.76%E -0.252%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 19:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.58%E -4.12%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -3.17%E -0.459%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.58%E -4.12%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.27%E -0.781%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 15:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.58%E -4.12%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.27%E -0.781%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.58%E -4.12%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.27%E -0.781%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.58%E -4.12%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.27%E -0.781%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 18:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.05%EV -4.58%E -4.12%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.95%EV -17.90%E -3.06%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.44%E -4.94%K -54.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.76%E -0.252%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.44%E -4.94%K -54.37%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -4.57%E -0.672%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.44%E -4.94%K -54.37%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -4.57%E -0.672%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.44%E -4.94%K -54.37%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -5.97%E -0.891%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.44%E -4.94%K -54.37%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -5.97%E -0.891%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.44%E -4.94%K -54.37%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -5.97%E -0.891%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 15:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -5.44%E -4.94%K -54.37%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.77%EV -10.88%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.44%E -4.94%K -54.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 19:47 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.44%E -4.94%K -54.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.30%E -5.78%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.30%E -5.78%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.30%E -5.78%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 02:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.30%E -5.78%K -69.97%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 21:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 87.08% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.92% | -0.1% | 2026-02-28 21:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.49% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.51% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 21:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.17% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.83% | 1.8% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |