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North Dakota St Bison v CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners

2026-11-15 19:00 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Dakota St Bison (Local)

Prediction 63.98%1.56fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.16%64.44%66.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.461.5371.43%68.39%68.26%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 36.02%2.78fair odd
EV +2.31%
Edge +0.814%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 2.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.64%35.84%35.56%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.612.8440.00%38.03%38.31%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: North Dakota St Bison (Local): 63.98%; CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Visit): 36.02%. For CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.84, producing a positive expected value of +2.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.90%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV +2.31%E +0.814%K +1.26%G +0.029%4.7%2026-11-14 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV +0.149%E +0.054%K +0.084%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-14 23:55
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -0.931%E -0.339%K -0.532%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-15 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.931%E -0.339%K -0.532%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-14 23:55
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.73%E -1.01%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-15 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.61%E -2.14%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-15 00:00
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -5.61%E -2.14%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-15 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.12%E -1.38%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-14 23:55
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.76%E -1.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-15 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-15 00:00
picklebet_au🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-15 00:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.94%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.94%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.94%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 23:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%7.0%2026-11-15 00:45
Novig◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-11-15 00:30

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