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North Dakota Fighting Hawks v Denver Pioneers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Local)
Prediction 41.16%2.43fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.506%
Kelly -0.867%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%41.21%41.11%42.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.322.4046.51%43.39%43.10%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denver Pioneers (Visit)
Prediction 58.84%1.70fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.33%58.79%58.89%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.621.611.6663.69%61.86%62.11%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Local): 41.16%; Denver Pioneers (Visit): 58.84%. For North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.21%E -0.506%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 14:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.86%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.68%E -2.89%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.92%E -1.77%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.92%E -1.77%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.92%E -1.77%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.09%E -2.51%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.68%E -2.89%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 01:22 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.92%E -1.77%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 22:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.68%E -2.89%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.86%E -3.66%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -2.33%E -1.40%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.68%E -2.89%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.68%E -2.89%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.68%E -2.89%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 20:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.86%E -3.66%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.62%E -4.86%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -6.15%E -2.70%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -6.45%E -4.05%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 01:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -6.56%E -2.89%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.03%E -4.45%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.39%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.92%E -1.77%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.39%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.92%E -1.77%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.39%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.92%E -1.77%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.39%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.68%E -2.89%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.39%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.86%E -3.66%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.39%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.86%E -3.66%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.39%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.86%E -3.66%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 18:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.45%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -5.86%E -3.66%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -5.86%E -3.66%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.45I 40.82%NM 41.11% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.89% | -0.7% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 01:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 01:29 |
| Novig◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 01:20 |