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North Carolina Tar Heels v VCU Rams
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
North Carolina Tar Heels (Local)
Prediction 57.53%1.74fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.947%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.19%57.47%57.40%58.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.661.7162.50%60.26%60.24%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VCU Rams (Visit)
Prediction 42.47%2.35fair odd
EV -0.627%
Edge -0.268%
Kelly -0.468%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.50%42.53%42.60%43.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.232.232.3446.73%44.91%44.84%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 57.53%; VCU Rams (Visit): 42.47%. For VCU Rams (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.34, with an expected value of -0.627%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.62%E -0.947%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.19%E -1.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.77%E -1.64%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.77%E -1.64%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 22:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.77%E -1.64%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 22:42 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.34%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.30%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.34%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.30%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.34%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.30%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.34%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.30%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.34%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.30%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.34%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.30%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.92%E -2.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.92%E -2.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.92%E -2.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.75%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.92%E -2.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.92%E -2.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.92%E -2.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.92%E -2.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 22:48 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.92%E -2.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.92%E -2.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -4.50%E -2.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -0.627%E -0.268%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.50%E -2.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.48%E -0.636%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.50%E -2.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.30%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.50%E -2.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -4.50%E -2.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -9.12%E -4.26%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.22%E -3.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.22%E -3.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.80%E -4.20%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.80%E -4.20%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.37%E -4.58%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -6.15%E -2.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.95%E -4.97%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.95%E -4.97%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33% | 1.4% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29% | 1.9% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |