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North Carolina Tar Heels v Clemson Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
North Carolina Tar Heels (Local)
Prediction 44.63%2.24fair odd
EV +0.419%
Edge +0.186%
Kelly +0.335%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.64%44.60%44.73%47.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.102.102.2551.55%47.66%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clemson Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 55.37%1.81fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.97%55.40%55.27%58.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.711.731.7763.69%58.54%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 44.63%; Clemson Tigers (Visit): 55.37%. For North Carolina Tar Heels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.419%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.419%E +0.186%K +0.335%G +0.001% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.30%E -6.36%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.81%E -0.824%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.32%E -3.11%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.81%E -0.824%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.64%E -5.24%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.81%E -0.824%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.64%E -5.24%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.81%E -0.824%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.64%E -5.24%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.81%E -0.824%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.64%E -5.24%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -1.81%E -0.824%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.07%E -8.32%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -9.75%E -5.98%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.04%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.66%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.04%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.66%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 00:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.04%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.66%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 01:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.04%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.04%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 01:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.49%E -2.10%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.66%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 01:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.49%E -2.10%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 00:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -4.49%E -2.10%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.64%E -5.24%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.38%E -2.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.55%E -1.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.38%E -2.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.55%E -1.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 00:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.38%E -2.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -5.38%E -2.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -11.41%E -7.13%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.00%E -1.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 00:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.00%E -1.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 00:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.00%E -1.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.00%E -1.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.43%E -3.80%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -9.75%E -5.98%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.17%E -3.45%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 01:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.17%E -3.45%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.17%E -3.45%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.17%E -3.45%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.61%E -3.68%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 00:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.00%E -1.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.66%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.64%E -5.24%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.74%E -5.37%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.00%E -1.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.74%E -5.37%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.66%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.74%E -5.37%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.74%E -5.37%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.74%E -5.37%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.09%E -4.87%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -12.08%E -6.13%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -3.66%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -12.52%E -6.39%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -3.66%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -12.97%E -6.65%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.99%EV -13.42%E -6.92%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.01%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 44.04% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.96% | -1.3% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 1.4% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 1.4% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 1.4% | 2026-03-13 01:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-03-13 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.3% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96% | 3.2% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |