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North Carolina Tar Heels v Clemson Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
North Carolina Tar Heels (Local)
Prediction 58.54%1.71fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.44%58.60%58.67%59.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.621.611.6763.69%61.86%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clemson Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 41.46%2.41fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.738%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.55%41.40%41.33%42.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.302.302.3745.45%43.43%43.48%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 58.54%; Clemson Tigers (Visit): 41.46%. For Clemson Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.37, with an expected value of -1.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.23%E -1.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.23%E -1.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.23%E -1.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.23%E -1.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-03 23:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.58%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 23:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.58%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 22:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.99%E -1.28%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -4.57%E -2.81%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -1.75%E -0.738%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.58%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.58%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -2.16%E -0.917%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.58%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.41%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.41%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.41%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.41%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.41%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.41%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.41%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -6.33%E -3.96%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.33%E -3.96%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.33%E -3.96%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.33%E -3.96%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.72%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.33%E -3.96%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.55%E -3.39%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -6.33%E -3.96%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.97%E -3.59%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -6.33%E -3.96%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.97%E -3.59%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.91%E -4.35%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.72%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 23:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -6.91%E -4.35%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -7.14%E -3.19%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 23:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.09%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.09%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.09%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.72%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-03 23:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.09%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.72%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05% | -0.1% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24% | 1.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-03-03 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |