Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Central Eagles v Delaware St Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 01:23 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Central Eagles (Local)

Prediction 61.31%1.63fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -3.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%61.44%61.15%63.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.24%64.10%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Delaware St Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 38.69%2.58fair odd
EV +2.14%
Edge +0.810%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.39%38.56%38.85%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.422.402.6443.48%41.38%41.67%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Central Eagles (Local): 61.31%; Delaware St Hornets (Visit): 38.69%. For Delaware St Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -7.42%E -4.91%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV +2.14%E +0.810%K +1.30%G +0.028%4.1%2026-03-14 01:20
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.183%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 01:20
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.58%E -3.62%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:20
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:16
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.35%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.83%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 01:19
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.35%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 01:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.97%E -3.20%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 01:19
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.97%E -3.20%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 01:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 01:20
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.90%E -1.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.52%E -1.58%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 01:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.13%E -1.98%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 01:19
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.13%E -1.98%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 01:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.13%E -1.98%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 01:19
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 01:19
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 01:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 01:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 01:19
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 01:19
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.35%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 01:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 01:19
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.35%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 01:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.35%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 01:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.35%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 01:19
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 01:20
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.97%E -3.20%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 01:19
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 01:19
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.03%E -5.36%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.03%E -5.36%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 01:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%-0.1%2026-03-14 01:15
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-03-14 01:20
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-14 01:20
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%2.8%2026-03-14 01:20