Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina A&T Aggies v William & Mary Tribe

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina A&T Aggies (Local)

Prediction 25.67%3.89fair odd
EV +2.70%
Edge +0.674%
Kelly +0.899%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%25.82%25.57%28.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.713.754.0029.41%26.95%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

William & Mary Tribe (Visit)

Prediction 74.33%1.35fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.862%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.88%74.18%74.43%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3381.97%78.55%78.74%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina A&T Aggies (Local): 25.67%; William & Mary Tribe (Visit): 74.33%. For North Carolina A&T Aggies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.70%E +0.674%K +0.899%G +0.024%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.35%E -5.04%K -24.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:44
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.70%E +0.674%K +0.899%G +0.024%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.32%E -7.64%K -42.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 18:44
1xBet🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV +1.67%E +0.422%K +0.564%G +0.009%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -8.58%E -6.97%K -37.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 18:49
Everygame🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.129%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.86%E -3.80%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 18:54
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.86%E -3.80%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:49
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:49
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:49
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:49
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:52
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.44%E -0.642%K -0.871%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.12%E -3.19%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.44%E -0.642%K -0.871%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.12%E -3.19%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 18:44
BetUS🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.44%E -0.642%K -0.871%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.12%E -3.19%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 18:44
theScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.44%E -0.642%K -0.871%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.86%E -3.80%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:44
Caesars🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -2.95%E -0.781%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.86%E -3.80%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:43
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.72%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.38%E -2.60%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 18:49
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.72%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.12%E -3.19%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 18:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.72%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -3.72%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.84%E -6.32%K -32.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.01%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.86%E -3.80%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:49
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.01%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.86%E -3.80%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.01%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.86%E -3.80%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:49
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.01%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.86%E -3.80%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:49
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.01%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.01%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.01%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:49
Fliff🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.09%E -5.67%K -28.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 18:54
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -8.86%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 18:49
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -8.86%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -8.86%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 18:49
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.38%E -2.60%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:44
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:49
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:49
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.61%E -4.41%K -20.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:49
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.09%E -5.67%K -28.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:48
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.09%E -5.67%K -28.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.09%E -5.67%K -28.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:49
Pinnacle🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -10.65%E -3.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.35%EV -1.15%E -0.862%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.15%E -0.862%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%0.2%2026-02-28 18:44
Polymarket3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-02-28 18:44
Novig4.05I 24.69%NM 24.02%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.98%2.8%2026-02-28 18:54
ProphetX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%3.2%2026-02-28 18:54