Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk St Spartans v South Carolina St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk St Spartans (Local)

Prediction 76.06%1.31fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -6.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.68%75.89%76.12%77.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.74%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Carolina St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 23.94%4.18fair odd
EV +0.568%
Edge +0.135%
Kelly +0.177%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%24.11%23.88%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.883.854.2028.57%25.76%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norfolk St Spartans (Local): 76.06%; South Carolina St Bulldogs (Visit): 23.94%. For South Carolina St Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.568%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.568%E +0.135%K +0.177%G +0.001%4.5%2026-03-12 14:30
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.81%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.19%EV -0.869%E -0.210%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 17:30
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 17:03
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.02%E -0.747%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 17:29
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 17:03
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 17:05
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 17:10
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 20:10
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.41%E -2.68%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.46%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.41%E -2.68%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.46%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 21:30
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -6.45%E -5.25%K -28.05%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -5.18%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 14:20
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:35
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:35
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:35
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:35
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.89%E -1.46%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 20:24
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.45%E -5.25%K -28.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:25
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.45%E -5.25%K -28.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.41%E -2.68%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 18:35
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 21:30
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 21:30
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 21:30
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.97%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -14.28%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 17:05
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.19%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.19%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 21:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-03-12 21:55
BetOpenly1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-03-12 21:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-12 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-12 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-12 21:55
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-03-12 21:50
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24%1.3%2026-03-12 21:55
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-03-12 21:30