Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

NJIT Highlanders v UMBC Retrievers

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NJIT Highlanders (Local)

Prediction 35.26%2.84fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.708%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%35.20%35.34%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.742.8038.46%36.73%36.50%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UMBC Retrievers (Visit)

Prediction 64.74%1.54fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -5.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%64.80%64.66%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.461.451.5070.42%68.71%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NJIT Highlanders (Local): 35.26%; UMBC Retrievers (Visit): 64.74%. For NJIT Highlanders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.27%E -0.455%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.13%E -4.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 19:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.27%E -0.455%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.77%E -4.70%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.27%E -0.455%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.77%E -4.70%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.27%E -0.455%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.77%E -4.70%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 22:35
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.27%E -0.455%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.42%E -5.19%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 22:35
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.27%E -0.455%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.42%E -5.19%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 22:35
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.27%E -0.455%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.42%E -5.19%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 22:35
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.27%E -0.455%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.42%E -5.19%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.27%E -0.455%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.42%E -5.19%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 22:35
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.27%E -0.455%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.42%E -5.19%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.27%E -0.455%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.42%E -5.19%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.27%E -0.455%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.42%E -5.19%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 22:35
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.27%E -0.455%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.42%E -5.19%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.27%E -0.455%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.07%E -5.68%K -19.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 22:40
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -2.69%E -0.973%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -4.83%E -3.29%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 22:50
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.04%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.18%E -2.83%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.04%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.18%E -2.83%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.04%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.18%E -2.83%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:05
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.04%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.18%E -2.83%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 21:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.39%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.89%E -1.93%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-03 21:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.39%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.89%E -1.93%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-03 21:14
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.89%E -1.93%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 22:50
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.54%E -2.37%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 22:00
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.18%E -2.83%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 22:30
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.83%E -3.29%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.83%E -3.29%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.83%E -3.29%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 22:55
SportsBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -5.15%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -7.42%E -5.19%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 22:49
888sport🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.56%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.83%E -3.29%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.56%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.83%E -3.29%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:25
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.56%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.13%E -4.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -6.92%E -2.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -6.77%E -4.70%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 22:55
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.13%E -4.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 21:15
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.77%E -4.70%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 22:25
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.77%E -4.70%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 22:55
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.89%E -1.93%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 22:00
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.13%E -4.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 22:25
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.13%E -4.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 22:25
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.77%E -4.70%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%0.0%2026-03-03 22:54
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-03-03 21:55
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-03-03 22:45
Novig2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94%3.3%2026-03-03 22:54
ProphetX2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%4.1%2026-03-03 22:55