The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Nicholls St Colonels v SE Louisiana Lions

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 21:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nicholls St Colonels (Local)

Prediction 63.36%1.58fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.740%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.04%63.28%63.36%64.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.481.501.5669.93%67.36%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SE Louisiana Lions (Visit)

Prediction 36.64%2.73fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.80%36.72%36.64%37.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.582.552.6540.00%38.80%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nicholls St Colonels (Local): 63.36%; SE Louisiana Lions (Visit): 36.64%. For Nicholls St Colonels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.15%E -0.740%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.58%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 21:33
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.58%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 21:39
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 21:39
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.58%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 21:40
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 21:39
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 21:39
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.01%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 21:39
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.58%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 21:39
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.49%E -5.13%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 21:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 21:34
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.58%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 21:31
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.58%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 21:31
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.76%E -6.08%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.58%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 21:34
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -9.39%E -6.57%K -21.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 21:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-02-28 21:39
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-02-28 21:39
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 62.91%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.09%7.4%2026-02-28 21:39