L’École des cotes

Niagara Purple Eagles v Merrimack Warriors

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Niagara Purple Eagles (Local)

Prévision 25.08%3.99cote équitable
EV +0.311%
Avantage +0.078%
Kelly +0.104%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.37%25.29%25.05%28.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.793.804.0030.30%26.36%26.32%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Merrimack Warriors (Visiteur)

Prévision 74.92%1.33cote équitable
EV -1.85%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -5.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.74%74.71%74.95%76.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.271.3181.97%78.87%78.74%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV +0.311%E +0.078%K +0.104%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -3.35%E -2.60%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-01 18:09
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.311%E +0.078%K +0.104%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.85%E -3.82%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 18:14
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.311%E +0.078%K +0.104%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.60%E -4.44%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 18:19
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.311%E +0.078%K +0.104%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.59%E -7.05%K -39.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 18:14
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.311%E +0.078%K +0.104%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.59%E -7.05%K -39.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 12:18
1xBet3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -0.692%E -0.175%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -7.85%E -6.38%K -34.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 12:54
BetUS3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -0.943%E -0.239%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.85%E -3.82%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 18:19
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -0.943%E -0.239%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.60%E -4.44%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 18:14
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -0.943%E -0.239%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.60%E -4.44%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 18:09
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -0.943%E -0.239%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.60%E -4.44%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 18:14
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -0.943%E -0.239%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.60%E -4.44%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 18:09
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -0.943%E -0.239%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.60%E -4.44%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 18:10
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -0.943%E -0.239%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.60%E -4.44%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 18:09
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -0.943%E -0.239%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.60%E -4.44%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 18:10
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.20%E -0.563%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.60%E -4.44%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 18:14
Bovada3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.45%E -0.896%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.85%E -3.82%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 18:15
Caesars3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.45%E -0.896%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.85%E -3.82%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 18:19
Pinnacle3.84I 26.04%NM 24.85%EV -3.70%E -0.964%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.15%EV -4.85%E -3.82%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 18:55
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.70%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.35%E -2.60%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 18:09
GTbets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.70%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.35%E -2.60%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 18:14
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.70%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.35%E -2.60%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 18:09
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.70%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.35%E -2.60%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 18:13
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.70%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.35%E -2.60%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 18:09
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.70%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.85%E -3.82%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 18:14
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.70%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.85%E -3.82%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 18:14
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.70%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.85%E -3.82%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 18:14
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.70%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.85%E -3.82%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 18:14
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.70%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.85%E -3.82%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 18:14
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.60%E -4.44%K -21.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.60%E -4.44%K -21.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 18:50
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.60%E -4.44%K -21.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 18:14
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.60%E -4.44%K -21.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 18:10
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.60%E -4.44%K -21.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 18:09
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.35%E -5.08%K -25.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 18:09
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.47%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.35%E -5.08%K -25.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 18:09
Fliff3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.47%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.35%E -5.08%K -25.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 18:19
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.47%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.35%E -5.08%K -25.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 18:09
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -1.85%E -1.41%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.60%E -2.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 18:09
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.60%E -2.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 18:10
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -14.74%E -4.33%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.10%E -3.20%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -14.74%E -4.33%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.10%E -3.20%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 18:14
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -17.24%E -5.23%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.60%E -2.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 18:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly4.27I 23.42%NM 23.48%1.31I 76.34%NM 76.52%-0.2%2026-03-01 18:44
Polymarket4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-03-01 18:15
ProphetX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%1.7%2026-03-01 18:50
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%2.1%2026-03-01 18:54
Novig4.02I 24.88%NM 24.29%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.71%2.4%2026-03-01 18:45