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New Mexico St Aggies v UTEP Miners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Mexico St Aggies (Local)
Prediction 73.06%1.37fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -11.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.03%73.10%73.07%74.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.301.3280.00%77.09%76.92%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UTEP Miners (Visit)
Prediction 26.94%3.71fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.278%
Kelly +0.380%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%26.90%26.93%27.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.533.523.7529.85%28.33%28.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Mexico St Aggies (Local): 73.06%; UTEP Miners (Visit): 26.94%. For UTEP Miners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.04%E +0.278%K +0.380%G +0.004% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV +0.235%E +0.063%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.304%E -0.082%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.65%E -0.452%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.30%E -3.28%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 00:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 04:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.57%E -2.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.35%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 01:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.57%E -2.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.35%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.57%E -2.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.35%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 01:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.35%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.35%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.35%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.57%E -2.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.15%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 01:32 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.57%E -2.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.15%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.57%E -2.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.15%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.57%E -2.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.30%E -3.28%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 12:28 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.30%E -3.28%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 21:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 01:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.22%E -5.69%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 01:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.22%E -5.69%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.22%E -5.69%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.22%E -5.69%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.57%E -2.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 00:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.73%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 21:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.73%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.73%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.73%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.94% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 26.06% | 0.2% | 2026-02-22 01:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-02-22 01:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.31% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.69% | 1.8% | 2026-02-22 01:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-02-22 01:55 |