The School of College Oddsodds.college
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New Mexico Lobos v Sam Houston St Bearkats

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Mexico Lobos (Local)

Prediction 84.86%1.18fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -23.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.57%84.46%84.74%85.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.121.121.1491.74%89.21%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit)

Prediction 15.14%6.61fair odd
EV +0.044%
Edge +0.007%
Kelly +0.008%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.49%15.54%15.26%18.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.026.006.6120.00%16.61%16.67%15.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Mexico Lobos (Local): 84.86%; Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit): 15.14%. For Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.607. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.610, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.044%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.95%E -4.42%K -41.26%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +0.044%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.95%E -4.42%K -41.26%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +0.044%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 22:00
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.95%E -4.42%K -41.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.95%E -4.42%K -41.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 21:55
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.95%E -4.42%K -41.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 21:56
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.95%E -4.42%K -41.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.68%EV -3.25%E -2.85%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.32%EV -4.65%E -0.738%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 00:25
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.10%E -3.63%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -4.65%E -0.738%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.10%E -3.63%K -31.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.40%E -0.865%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 23:49
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -7.50%E -6.88%K -83.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -5.40%E -0.865%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 00:50
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.95%E -4.42%K -41.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.19%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.95%E -4.42%K -41.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.19%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 23:50
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -5.80%E -5.23%K -52.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -10.70%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 23:55
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.10%E -3.63%K -31.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -12.22%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.80%E -5.23%K -52.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 23:50
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.80%E -5.23%K -52.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 23:50
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.80%E -5.23%K -52.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 22:00
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.95%E -4.42%K -41.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.76%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 00:50
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.10%E -3.63%K -31.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -18.27%E -3.38%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 22:00
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -3.25%E -2.85%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -20.54%E -3.91%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 23:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.10%E -3.63%K -31.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -24.32%E -4.86%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 23:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.16I 86.21%NM 86.26%7.28I 13.74%NM 13.74%-0.1%2026-03-19 00:55
ProphetX◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.71%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.29%0.3%2026-03-19 00:30
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-18 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-19 00:45
Polymarket◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-03-19 00:53
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.2%2026-03-19 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.2%2026-03-19 00:55
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.49%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.51%1.4%2026-03-19 00:55