The School of College Oddsodds.college
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New Mexico Lobos v Saint Joseph's Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-25 01:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Mexico Lobos (Local)

Prediction 82.94%1.21fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -17.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.81%82.88%82.71%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.151.151.1790.91%87.15%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Joseph's Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 17.06%5.86fair odd
EV +2.37%
Edge +0.395%
Kelly +0.474%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.97%17.12%17.29%19.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.385.406.0020.83%18.59%18.52%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Mexico Lobos (Local): 82.94%; Saint Joseph's Hawks (Visit): 17.06%. For Saint Joseph's Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.86. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +2.37%E +0.395%K +0.474%G +0.011%4.4%2026-03-25 01:04
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.87%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.13%EV +2.03%E +0.339%K +0.407%G +0.008%3.7%2026-03-25 00:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.73%E -0.300%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.73%E -0.300%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 01:00
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.90%E -0.330%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 00:59
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -3.79%E -3.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -5.31%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.46%EV -8.77%E -7.97%K -87.67%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.54%EV -5.31%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-25 00:59
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.79%E -3.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.16%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-25 01:04
Fanatics🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.79%E -3.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.16%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-25 01:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.87%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 01:04
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.28%E -5.56%K -48.30%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.87%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-25 01:04
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.93%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -8.72%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 01:04
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -2.96%E -2.53%K -17.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -9.58%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 01:04
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.79%E -3.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -11.28%E -2.17%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 01:00
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.79%E -3.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.69%E -2.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 00:59
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.79%E -3.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.69%E -2.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 00:59
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.69%E -2.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 00:59
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.69%E -2.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 01:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -18.11%E -3.77%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 01:04
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -18.11%E -3.77%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.17I 85.47%NM 85.45%6.87I 14.56%NM 14.55%0.0%2026-03-25 00:59
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-03-25 01:05
Polymarket◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-03-25 01:05
ProphetX◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-03-25 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-03-25 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-03-25 01:00
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 83.68%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32%3.0%2026-03-25 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 48.65%1.08I 92.59%NM 51.35%80.3%2026-03-25 01:05