Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Haven Chargers v St. Francis (PA) Red Flash

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Haven Chargers (Local)

Prediction 73.48%1.36fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -9.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%73.42%73.43%74.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.291.291.3279.37%77.54%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Francis (PA) Red Flash (Visit)

Prediction 26.52%3.77fair odd
EV -0.533%
Edge -0.142%
Kelly -0.194%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%26.58%26.57%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.613.603.7530.30%27.71%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Haven Chargers (Local): 73.48%; St. Francis (PA) Red Flash (Visit): 26.52%. For St. Francis (PA) Red Flash (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.533%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.01%E -2.28%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -9.29%E -2.72%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 20:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.75%E -2.86%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.72%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.75%E -2.86%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.72%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 15:54
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.75%E -2.86%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.75%E -2.86%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 17:50
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.75%E -2.86%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.75%E -2.86%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 15:50
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.48%E -3.45%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.533%E -0.142%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-24 16:39
BetUS🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.48%E -3.45%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.86%E -0.503%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-24 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.48%E -3.45%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.19%E -0.873%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 22:59
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.48%E -3.45%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.19%E -0.873%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 22:52
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.48%E -3.45%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 22:55
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.22%E -4.04%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.86%E -0.503%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 15:59
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.22%E -4.04%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.22%E -4.04%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.22%E -4.04%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 22:59
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.22%E -4.04%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 01:15
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.22%E -4.04%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 17:45
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.533%E -0.142%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 22:05
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.533%E -0.142%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.533%E -0.142%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 22:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.533%E -0.142%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 22:05
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.533%E -0.142%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 22:05
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 22:05
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 22:04
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.69%E -5.26%K -24.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.69%E -5.26%K -24.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 16:39
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.69%E -5.26%K -24.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 16:40
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.89%K -28.54%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -1.33%E -0.357%K -0.489%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 22:34
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.42%E -5.89%K -28.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -3.19%E -0.873%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-02-24 22:59
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 75.65%4.07I 24.57%NM 24.35%0.9%2026-02-24 22:59
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-02-24 23:00
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-02-24 22:45
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-02-24 23:00