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New Haven Chargers v Le Moyne Dolphins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Haven Chargers (Local)
Prediction 44.45%2.25fair odd
EV +0.020%
Edge +0.009%
Kelly +0.016%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.56%44.25%44.57%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.152.2548.78%46.72%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Le Moyne Dolphins (Visit)
Prediction 55.55%1.80fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%55.75%55.43%57.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.711.7560.61%58.79%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Haven Chargers (Local): 44.45%; Le Moyne Dolphins (Visit): 55.55%. For New Haven Chargers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.2495. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.2500, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.020%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.020%E +0.009%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -0.424%E -0.189%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -7.79%E -4.69%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.09%E -1.42%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 17:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.87%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.87%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.76%E -2.72%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.76%E -2.72%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.79%E -1.60%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -7.54%E -3.62%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70% | 2.6% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84% | 2.9% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |