Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Hampshire Wildcats v Maine Black Bears

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Hampshire Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 60.39%1.66fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.03%60.36%60.15%61.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.591.6265.79%63.29%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maine Black Bears (Visit)

Prediction 39.61%2.52fair odd
EV -0.985%
Edge -0.394%
Kelly -0.657%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%39.64%39.85%40.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.372.362.5043.48%42.14%42.37%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Hampshire Wildcats (Local): 60.39%; Maine Black Bears (Visit): 39.61%. For Maine Black Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.985%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.16%E -1.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.53%E -2.77%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 19:30
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 19:38
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 17:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.72%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.72%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.72%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:45
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.72%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:45
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.72%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.72%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.72%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.11%E -3.50%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.11%E -3.50%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:15
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.11%E -3.50%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.37%E -2.11%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -8.11%E -3.50%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 16:15
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.97%E -2.50%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.17%E -0.880%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.97%E -2.50%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 19:35
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.97%E -2.50%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.97%E -2.50%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 20:05
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -3.97%E -2.50%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 19:45
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 20:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.18%E -3.30%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.985%E -0.394%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 19:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.18%E -3.30%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 19:35
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.18%E -3.30%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.18%E -3.30%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 19:35
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.18%E -3.30%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 19:35
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.18%E -3.30%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.93%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.18%E -3.30%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.93%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.18%E -3.30%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.93%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:35
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -2.57%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 19:35
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.99%E -4.54%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.93%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 20:15
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.74%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:35
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -8.20%E -5.40%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -4.55%E -1.89%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:35
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.20%E -5.40%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:35
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.20%E -5.40%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-02-21 19:30
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-02-21 20:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-02-21 19:35
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%3.0%2026-02-21 20:05