Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.10
assuming max odds 1.48
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nevada Wolf Pack (Local): 33.38%; Utah State Aggies (Visit): 66.62%. For Nevada Wolf Pack (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.48%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +3.48%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.058% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +2.48%E +0.808%K +1.20%G +0.030% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 02:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +2.48%E +0.808%K +1.20%G +0.030% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +2.48%E +0.808%K +1.20%G +0.030% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +1.81%E +0.594%K +0.884%G +0.016% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -0.525%E -0.176%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.07%E -4.30%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.53%E -0.517%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.53%E -0.517%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.53%E -0.517%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.53%E -0.517%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.86%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.07%E -5.84%K -21.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.07%E -2.83%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%EV -5.53%E -1.95%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.97%EV -2.74%E -1.87%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 01:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.07%E -1.41%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.40%E -2.35%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.40%E -2.35%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.40%E -2.35%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 02:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.07%E -2.83%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.07%E -2.83%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.07%E -2.83%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.07%E -2.83%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.07%E -2.83%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.07%E -2.83%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.40%E -0.948%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.07%E -4.30%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.07%E -4.30%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 02:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.07%E -4.30%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.40%E -2.35%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.07%E -2.83%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -11.54%E -4.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.40%E -2.35%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 02:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -11.54%E -4.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.07%E -2.83%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.18I 31.45%NM 31.47% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.53% | -0.1% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.80% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.20% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27% | 3.2% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |