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Nevada Wolf Pack v Saint Mary's Gaels

2026-11-08 21:30 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nevada Wolf Pack (Local)

Prediction 53.20%1.88fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.06%53.25%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.781.801.8357.80%56.10%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Mary's Gaels (Visit)

Prediction 46.80%2.14fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -3.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%46.94%46.75%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.012.002.0551.28%49.66%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nevada Wolf Pack (Local): 53.20%; Saint Mary's Gaels (Visit): 46.80%. For Nevada Wolf Pack (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.83, with an expected value of -2.64%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.64%E -1.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 15:10
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.64%E -1.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 01:30
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 04:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 00:35
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 05:25
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 04:19
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 03:19
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 12:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 12:14
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 12:15
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 13:17
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-07 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 14:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 14:25
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 14:25
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 14:24
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 14:24
ReBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.77%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.00%E -2.46%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-08 03:19
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-08 03:20
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-08 14:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-08 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-08 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-08 14:25
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.83%E -3.29%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 05:25
picklebet_au🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-08 13:15
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.87%E -3.45%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 01:10
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-07 22:45
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 00:30
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 02:08
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 00:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 00:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-07 22:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-08 03:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-08 03:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.58%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.42%-0.7%2026-11-08 14:30
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-11-08 16:20
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-11-08 16:40
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-11-08 16:35
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-11-08 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-11-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-11-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-11-08 16:40

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