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Nevada Wolf Pack v Liberty Flames
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nevada Wolf Pack (Local)
Prediction 73.36%1.36fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -9.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.34%73.40%73.32%75.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.291.291.3281.97%77.61%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liberty Flames (Visit)
Prediction 26.64%3.75fair odd
EV +1.23%
Edge +0.323%
Kelly +0.439%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.30%26.60%26.68%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.563.553.8029.41%28.12%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nevada Wolf Pack (Local): 73.36%; Liberty Flames (Visit): 26.64%. For Liberty Flames (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -10.50%E -8.61%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV +1.23%E +0.323%K +0.439%G +0.005% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.63%E -3.56%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.44%E -0.388%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 00:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.36%E -4.16%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.44%E -0.388%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 00:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.36%E -4.16%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.44%E -0.388%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.63%E -3.56%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -2.23%E -0.609%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 00:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.63%E -3.56%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -2.23%E -0.609%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 00:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.63%E -3.56%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.77%E -0.758%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 00:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.90%E -2.97%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 00:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.90%E -2.97%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 00:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.10%E -4.76%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.83%E -5.38%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -3.16%E -2.40%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -5.96%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 00:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.63%E -3.56%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 00:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.63%E -3.56%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 00:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.36%E -4.16%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 18:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.63%E -3.56%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.10%E -4.76%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 00:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.10%E -4.76%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.10%E -4.76%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 00:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.10%E -4.76%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 00:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.57%E -6.00%K -29.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 00:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.91% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 24.09% | -0.2% | 2026-03-22 00:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-03-22 00:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 00:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 22:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-03-22 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 00:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 00:49 |