The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Nevada Wolf Pack v Air Force Falcons

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nevada Wolf Pack (Local)

Prediction 96.29%1.04fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -275.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.86%96.01%97.09%98.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.90%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Air Force Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 3.71%26.93fair odd
EV +89.36%
Edge +1.75%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +1.60%

assuming max odds 51.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.92%3.99%2.91%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0029.7030.0051.007.69%3.37%3.33%1.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nevada Wolf Pack (Local): 96.29%; Air Force Falcons (Visit): 3.71%. For Air Force Falcons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 26.93. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 51.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +89.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -3.71%E -3.71%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +89.36%E +1.75%K +1.79%G +1.60%2.0%2026-03-07 19:04
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -3.71%E -3.71%K +0.000%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +70.80%E +1.54%K +1.57%G +1.11%2.2%2026-03-07 18:24
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -3.71%E -3.71%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +52.23%E +1.27%K +1.31%G +0.682%2.4%2026-03-08 02:45
theScore Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -3.71%E -3.71%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +33.67%E +0.935%K +0.962%G +0.324%2.8%2026-03-07 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -3.71%E -3.71%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +15.10%E +0.487%K +0.503%G +0.076%3.2%2026-03-08 02:44
William Hill🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -3.71%E -3.71%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +7.68%E +0.265%K +0.274%G +0.021%3.4%2026-03-08 02:44
PlayUp🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -2.75%E -2.72%K -275.01%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -14.60%E -0.635%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 15:29
Betsson🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 93.10%EV -3.71%E -3.71%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV -49.87%E -3.69%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 18:04
NordicBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 93.10%EV -3.71%E -3.71%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV -49.87%E -3.69%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:34
BoyleSports🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -3.71%E -3.71%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -51.73%E -3.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-03-08 02:44
Novig◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.13%34.48I 2.90%NM 2.87%0.9%2026-03-08 02:44
ProphetX◎1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%3.2%2026-03-08 01:35