Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers v Penn State Nittany Lions

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

91%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local)

Prediction 91.48%1.09fair odd

EV -3.03%

Edge -2.86%

Kelly -50.57%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

89.46%91.44%91.59%93.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.00%95.69%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit)

Prediction 8.52%11.73fair odd

EV +19.32%

Edge +1.38%

Kelly +1.49%

Growth +0.287%

assuming max odds 14.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

6.79%8.56%8.41%10.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

9.0010.5710.0014.0011.11%9.46%10.00%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local): 91.48%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit): 8.52%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.73. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.69%E -6.56%K -334.66%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +19.32%E +1.38%K +1.49%G +0.287%	5.2%	2026-02-21 18:40
FanDuel🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.78%E -5.61%K -192.62%G +0.000%	13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +17.61%E +1.28%K +1.38%G +0.242%	4.3%	2026-02-21 17:05
Bovada🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.69%E -6.56%K -334.66%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.80%E +0.830%K +0.900%G +0.097%	5.7%	2026-02-21 14:19
BetUS🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -4.86%E -4.68%K -121.59%G +0.000%	12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV +8.67%E +0.680%K +0.737%G +0.064%	4.0%	2026-02-21 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +2.27%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.005%	3.6%	2026-02-21 17:30
DraftKings🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +2.27%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.005%	3.6%	2026-02-21 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -7.61%E -7.53%K -760.80%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +2.27%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.005%	7.3%	2026-02-21 18:45
Caesars🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -1.99%E -0.173%K -0.189%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-02-21 17:13
888sport🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.86%E -4.68%K -121.59%G +0.000%	11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -4.12%E -0.366%K -0.402%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-21 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.86%E -4.68%K -121.59%G +0.000%	11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -4.12%E -0.366%K -0.402%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-21 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.86%E -4.68%K -121.59%G +0.000%	11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -4.12%E -0.366%K -0.402%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-21 17:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -6.25%E -0.568%K -0.625%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-21 18:45
BetMGM🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -6.25%E -0.568%K -0.625%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-21 18:45
1xBet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.78%E -5.61%K -192.62%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.25%E -0.568%K -0.625%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-21 17:20
Fliff🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.11%EV -5.78%E -5.61%K -192.62%G +0.000%	10.55I 9.48%NM 8.89%EV -10.08%E -0.956%K -1.06%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-02-21 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.86%E -4.68%K -121.59%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -10.51%E -1.00%K -1.11%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-21 18:40
Neds🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.86%E -4.68%K -121.59%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -10.51%E -1.00%K -1.11%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-21 18:40
Betway🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.77%E -1.48%K -1.64%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-21 17:30
Coral🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.86%E -4.68%K -121.59%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.77%E -1.48%K -1.64%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.86%E -4.68%K -121.59%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.77%E -1.48%K -1.64%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-21 18:40
SportsBet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.78%E -5.61%K -192.62%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -14.77%E -1.48%K -1.64%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-21 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -19.03%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -19.03%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 17:55
Unibet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -19.03%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -19.03%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 17:55
BetRivers🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -19.03%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 17:55
LeoVegas🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -19.03%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 17:55
TABtouch🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -19.03%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 17:15
betPARX🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -19.03%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 17:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -19.03%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -19.03%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.95%E -3.76%K -78.98%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -19.03%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 17:55
BoyleSports🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.86%E -4.68%K -121.59%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -19.03%E -2.00%K -2.24%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-02-21 18:44
TAB🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.03%E -2.86%K -50.57%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -23.30%E -2.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-02-21 18:50
NordicBet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.78%E -5.61%K -192.62%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -23.30%E -2.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-02-21 17:30
Betsson🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.78%E -5.61%K -192.62%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -23.30%E -2.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-02-21 17:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
BetOpenly◎	1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87%	0.2%	2026-02-21 17:45
ProphetX◎	1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%	14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%	1.2%	2026-02-21 18:25
Kalshi◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%	16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%	1.2%	2026-02-21 17:25
Polymarket◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%	16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%	1.2%	2026-02-21 18:40
Novig◎	1.06I 94.34%NM 93.00%	14.08I 7.10%NM 7.00%	1.4%	2026-02-21 18:42