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Navy Midshipmen v Colgate Raiders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Navy Midshipmen (Local)
Prediction 70.31%1.42fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -5.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.58%70.23%70.31%71.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.351.351.3976.34%73.94%74.07%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colgate Raiders (Visit)
Prediction 29.69%3.37fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.613%
Kelly -0.879%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.79%29.77%29.69%31.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.993.163.153.3033.44%31.60%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Navy Midshipmen (Local): 70.31%; Colgate Raiders (Visit): 29.69%. For Colgate Raiders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -2.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.27%E -1.63%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 20:43 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -3.68%E -2.68%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -11.23%E -3.75%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.02%E -0.613%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.02%E -0.613%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 20:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 19:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 20:43 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -4.10%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.79%E -4.32%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.79%E -4.32%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.79%E -4.32%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.89%E -6.03%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.60% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 28.40% | -0.2% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |