Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Murray St Racers v UIC Flames

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 20:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Murray St Racers (Local)

Prediction 48.90%2.05fair odd
EV +0.240%
Edge +0.117%
Kelly +0.229%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%48.78%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.921.932.0554.64%52.00%51.81%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UIC Flames (Visit)

Prediction 51.10%1.96fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.22%51.05%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.871.9155.56%53.78%53.48%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Murray St Racers (Local): 48.90%; UIC Flames (Visit): 51.10%. For Murray St Racers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.045. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.050, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.240%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.240%E +0.117%K +0.229%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.02%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 20:25
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -1.23%E -0.607%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -5.97%E -3.25%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 20:20
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 18:10
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:05
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 18:10
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 20:20
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 20:05
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:05
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:05
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:10
Neds🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 20:05
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -8.02%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:50
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -8.02%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:50
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 18:40
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 20:05
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:20
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 20:10
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:40
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 18:40
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.02%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.02%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 18:10
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-03-06 20:10
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%0.5%2026-03-06 20:25
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-06 20:25
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-06 20:05
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%1.8%2026-03-06 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%2.8%2026-03-06 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%2.9%2026-03-06 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%2.9%2026-03-06 20:25