L’École des cotes

Murray St Racers v Evansville Purple Aces

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Murray St Racers (Local)

Prévision 89.37%1.12cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -2.37%
Kelly -28.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
87.31%89.40%89.37%91.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.071.071.0995.24%93.70%93.46%91.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Evansville Purple Aces (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.63%9.41cote équitable
EV +16.90%
Avantage +1.54%
Kelly +1.69%
Croissance +0.286%

avec la cote maximale 11.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.71%10.60%10.63%12.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.508.548.2011.0013.33%11.71%12.20%9.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +16.90%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.286%4.3%2026-02-21 12:45
BetOnline.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.37%E -4.09%K -62.45%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +3.51%E +0.360%K +0.402%G +0.014%3.7%2026-02-21 12:50
LowVig.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.37%E -4.09%K -62.45%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +3.51%E +0.360%K +0.402%G +0.014%3.7%2026-02-21 12:50
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.75%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +2.02%E +0.211%K +0.235%G +0.005%4.8%2026-02-21 15:45
BetUS1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.37%E -4.09%K -62.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +0.959%E +0.101%K +0.113%G +0.001%4.0%2026-02-21 12:49
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.37%E -4.09%K -62.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +0.959%E +0.101%K +0.113%G +0.001%4.0%2026-02-21 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +0.959%E +0.101%K +0.113%G +0.001%4.9%2026-02-21 03:43
Betway1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +0.959%E +0.101%K +0.113%G +0.001%4.9%2026-02-21 20:45
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.37%E -4.09%K -62.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.35%E -0.484%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 20:44
DraftKings1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.37%E -4.09%K -62.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.35%E -0.484%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 20:45
Bovada1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.35%E -0.484%K -0.544%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 09:48
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.37%E -4.09%K -62.45%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -7.01%E -0.801%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 20:45
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.37%E -4.09%K -62.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.67%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.37%E -4.09%K -62.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.67%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:45
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.67%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 20:45
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.67%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 20:45
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.67%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 20:45
PlayUp1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.67%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 20:50
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.67%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 09:49
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 88.65%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.17%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV -12.86%E -1.57%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 19:10
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 88.43%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.75%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.57%EV -13.92%E -1.72%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 20:45
Svenska Spel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:05
ATG (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:05
Bally Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:05
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:05
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:09
Virgin Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:05
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:05
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:05
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.37%E -4.09%K -62.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 20:45
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 20:45
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 00:40
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 18:20
NordicBet1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 23:50
Betsson1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.98%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 23:50
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.58%E -2.37%K -28.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -20.30%E -2.71%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.09I 91.74%NM 91.98%12.50I 8.00%NM 8.02%-0.3%2026-02-21 20:45
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-02-21 20:45
Novig1.07I 93.46%NM 91.84%12.05I 8.30%NM 8.16%1.8%2026-02-21 19:45
ProphetX1.08I 92.59%NM 90.75%10.60I 9.43%NM 9.25%2.0%2026-02-21 20:55