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Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers v Canisius Golden Griffins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers (Local)
Prediction 73.83%1.35fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -10.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.49%73.90%73.68%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.291.291.3181.97%77.72%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Canisius Golden Griffins (Visit)
Prediction 26.17%3.82fair odd
EV +4.70%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.074%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%26.10%26.32%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.604.0029.41%27.51%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers (Local): 73.83%; Canisius Golden Griffins (Visit): 26.17%. For Canisius Golden Griffins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.98%E -5.54%K -26.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +4.70%E +1.17%K +1.57%G +0.074% | 4.4% | 2026-02-22 17:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.93%E -8.14%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.70%E +1.17%K +1.57%G +0.074% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 17:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -9.19%E -7.48%K -39.98%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV +3.65%E +0.922%K +1.23%G +0.045% | 6.6% | 2026-02-22 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.537%E -0.141%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.537%E -0.141%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.537%E -0.141%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 13:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.537%E -0.141%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 13:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -5.50%E -4.30%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -1.06%E -0.280%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 14:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.03%E -3.10%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 18:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.03%E -3.10%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 17:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.29%E -2.51%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.29%E -2.51%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 17:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 18:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.24%E -4.91%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.29%E -2.51%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.03%E -3.10%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 17:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.03%E -3.10%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.03%E -3.10%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 17:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-22 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.50%E -4.30%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.77%E -3.69%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.50%E -4.30%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.50%E -4.30%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.50%E -4.30%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 17:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.50%E -4.30%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.28% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.72% | -0.1% | 2026-02-22 17:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-02-22 18:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-02-22 17:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-02-22 15:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.38% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.62% | 2.0% | 2026-02-22 18:33 |