Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Morgan St Bears v Norfolk St Spartans

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-02 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Morgan St Bears (Local)

Prévision 40.25%2.48cote équitable
EV +2.23%
Avantage +0.877%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 2.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%40.06%40.15%41.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.352.352.5444.44%42.62%42.55%39.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Norfolk St Spartans (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.75%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.853%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.44%59.94%59.85%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.591.601.6566.67%63.02%62.50%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Morgan St Bears (Local) : 40.25% ; Norfolk St Spartans (Visiteur) : 59.75%. Pour Morgan St Bears (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.48. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.54, soit une espérance positive de +2.23%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV +2.23%E +0.877%K +1.45%G +0.032%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 22:50
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.617%E +0.247%K +0.411%G +0.003%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.38%E -4.76%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-02 22:50
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.617%E +0.247%K +0.411%G +0.003%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.77%E -6.47%K -19.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 22:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.617%E +0.247%K +0.411%G +0.003%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.37%E -6.91%K -20.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 22:20
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.40%E -0.570%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-02 22:40
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.40%E -0.570%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-02 22:43
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -1.40%E -0.570%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.77%E -6.47%K -19.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 22:50
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-02 22:45
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 22:50
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 22:45
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.02%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -5.02%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -7.98%E -5.18%K -14.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.41%E -0.853%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.41%E -0.853%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 22:45
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.41%E -0.853%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-02 22:45
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 22:45
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 22:45
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 22:55
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 22:55
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.38%E -4.76%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 22:55
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.23%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.38%E -4.76%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-02 22:45
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.23%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.38%E -4.76%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-02 22:45
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 22:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 22:45
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 22:45
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 22:45
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 22:45
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 22:45
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 22:44
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.78%E -4.35%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 22:45
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.24%E -3.61%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-02 22:45
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.24%E -3.61%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-02 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.24%E -3.61%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-02 22:45
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.24%E -3.61%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-02 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-02 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-02 22:45
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-02 22:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-02 22:55
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-03-02 22:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-03-02 22:50
BetOpenly2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%2.3%2026-03-02 22:50
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%3.1%2026-03-02 22:55