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Morgan St Bears v Norfolk St Spartans
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Morgan St Bears (Local)
Predicción 40.25%2.48momio equitativo
EV +2.23%
Ventaja +0.877%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%40.06%40.15%41.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.352.352.5444.44%42.62%42.55%39.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Norfolk St Spartans (Visitante)
Predicción 59.75%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.853%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.44%59.94%59.85%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.601.6566.67%63.02%62.50%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Morgan St Bears (Local): 40.25%; Norfolk St Spartans (Visitante): 59.75%. Para Morgan St Bears (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.48. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.54, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.23%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV +2.23%E +0.877%K +1.45%G +0.032% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.617%E +0.247%K +0.411%G +0.003% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.38%E -4.76%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-02 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.617%E +0.247%K +0.411%G +0.003% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.77%E -6.47%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.617%E +0.247%K +0.411%G +0.003% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.37%E -6.91%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.40%E -0.570%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-02 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.40%E -0.570%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-02 22:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -1.40%E -0.570%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.77%E -6.47%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.02%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -5.02%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -7.98%E -5.18%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-02 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.41%E -0.853%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.41%E -0.853%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.41%E -0.853%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-02 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.38%E -4.76%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-02 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.23%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.38%E -4.76%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.23%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.38%E -4.76%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-02 22:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.78%E -4.35%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.24%E -3.61%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.24%E -3.61%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.24%E -3.61%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.24%E -3.61%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.39%E -2.75%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-03-02 22:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-03-02 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-03-02 22:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07% | 2.3% | 2026-03-02 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37% | 3.1% | 2026-03-02 22:55 |