Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.40
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Morgan St Bears (Local): 70.05%; Coppin St Eagles (Visit): 29.95%. For Coppin St Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.83%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.83%E +0.537%K +0.761%G +0.014% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.17%E -0.354%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.63%E -1.89%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -2.67%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.67%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 00:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.67%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.67%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.67%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.67%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.67%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.67%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.67%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.67%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.67%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -3.56%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 23:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -5.06%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -6.56%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.93%E -1.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 21:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.93%E -1.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.93%E -1.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -10.45%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -16.14%E -5.77%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -16.14%E -5.77%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01% | -0.1% | 2026-03-06 00:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |