Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Morehead St Eagles v Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Morehead St Eagles (Local)

Prediction 75.21%1.33fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -10.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.88%75.21%75.10%76.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.261.251.2981.30%79.41%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV +3.36%
Edge +0.807%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 4.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.06%24.79%24.90%27.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.443.853.834.1729.07%25.97%26.14%23.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Morehead St Eagles (Local): 75.21%; Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles (Visit): 24.79%. For Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.94%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%EV +3.36%E +0.807%K +1.06%G +0.036%4.0%2026-02-24 22:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%EV +2.37%E +0.574%K +0.758%G +0.018%4.2%2026-02-24 22:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%EV +2.37%E +0.574%K +0.758%G +0.018%4.2%2026-02-24 22:20
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +1.63%E +0.397%K +0.525%G +0.009%4.4%2026-02-25 00:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.48%E -3.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.850%E -0.212%K -0.283%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-24 14:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.850%E -0.212%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.850%E -0.212%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 19:14
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.850%E -0.212%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.850%E -0.212%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.850%E -0.212%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.850%E -0.212%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 19:14
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.850%E -0.212%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.850%E -0.212%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 19:14
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.850%E -0.212%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 19:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.850%E -0.212%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.48%E -3.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.33%E -0.853%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 22:59
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.33%E -0.853%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 23:44
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.49%E -6.09%K -32.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -3.33%E -0.853%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.15%EV -3.73%E -2.91%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -4.07%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-24 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.73%E -2.91%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 00:15
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.73%E -2.91%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 23:32
888sport🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.48%E -3.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 00:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.48%E -3.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 00:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.48%E -3.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 00:04
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.98%E -2.31%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 22:20
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.98%E -2.31%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 00:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.48%E -3.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 00:04
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 00:04
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -5.23%E -4.15%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 22:59
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.73%E -2.91%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.73%E -2.91%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 22:20
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 00:25
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 22:45
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 00:05
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 00:05
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-24 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.98%E -4.79%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-24 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -3.73%E -2.91%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -14.73%E -4.28%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.31I 76.34%NM 76.31%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.69%0.0%2026-02-25 00:19
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-02-24 23:15
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71%1.6%2026-02-25 00:04
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-02-25 00:14
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.30%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.70%2.4%2026-02-25 00:14