Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.34
assuming max odds 3.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montana St Bobcats (Local): 72.55%; Sacramento St Hornets (Visit): 27.45%. For Sacramento St Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.199%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.199%E +0.055%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.69%E -4.37%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.17%E -0.326%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.01%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.99%EV -2.00%E -0.559%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.55%E -0.717%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.55%E -0.717%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 19:43 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -5.57%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.37%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.37%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.37%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.37%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 19:47 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -7.21%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.79%E -2.08%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.69%E -4.37%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.69%E -4.37%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.69%E -4.37%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.28% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.72% | -0.1% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 19:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.65% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.35% | 2.9% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |