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Montana St Bobcats v Idaho Vandals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montana St Bobcats (Local)
Prediction 48.66%2.06fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.30%48.86%48.41%50.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.931.931.9854.35%51.73%51.81%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Idaho Vandals (Visit)
Prediction 51.34%1.95fair odd
EV -0.911%
Edge -0.472%
Kelly -0.979%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.33%51.14%51.59%51.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.871.9355.56%53.77%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montana St Bobcats (Local): 48.66%; Idaho Vandals (Visit): 51.34%. For Idaho Vandals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.93, with an expected value of -0.911%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.66%E -1.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 02:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.66%E -1.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 02:21 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.66%E -1.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 02:21 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 02:22 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 02:23 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 02:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:21 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 02:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 02:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.60%E -2.89%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.48%E -1.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 02:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.60%E -2.89%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.48%E -1.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 02:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.48%E -1.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 02:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.48%E -1.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 02:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.48%E -1.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 02:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.48%E -1.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 02:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.48%E -1.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 02:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 02:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.58%E -3.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 02:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 02:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.59%E -4.21%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 02:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.59%E -4.21%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 02:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.59%E -4.21%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 02:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -0.911%E -0.472%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 02:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -10.47%E -5.69%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -2.96%E -1.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 02:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-03-09 02:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 02:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 02:25 |