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Montana Grizzlies v Sacramento St Hornets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montana Grizzlies (Local)
Prediction 75.41%1.33fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -9.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.38%75.21%75.44%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.2981.97%78.99%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sacramento St Hornets (Visit)
Prediction 24.59%4.07fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.412%
Kelly -0.550%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%24.79%24.56%26.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.803.804.0028.57%26.33%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montana Grizzlies (Local): 75.41%; Sacramento St Hornets (Visit): 24.59%. For Sacramento St Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -2.72%E -2.11%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -1.65%E -0.412%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-02-27 01:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.72%E -2.11%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 01:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 01:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -4.35%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 01:18 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -4.35%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 01:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -4.35%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 01:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 01:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 01:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 01:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 01:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 01:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.03%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 01:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 01:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 01:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 01:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.47%E -2.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 01:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.65%E -0.412%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-26 23:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.65%E -0.412%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-27 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.88%E -0.729%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 01:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 01:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.34%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 01:18 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -11.48%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 01:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 01:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -4.98%E -3.95%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -8.53%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 01:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.73%E -4.59%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.65%E -0.412%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.73%E -4.59%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.65%E -0.412%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 01:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.73%E -4.59%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.65%E -0.412%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 01:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.73%E -4.59%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 01:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.73%E -4.59%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 01:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.73%E -4.59%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 01:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.73%E -4.59%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 01:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.73%E -4.59%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 01:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.73%E -4.59%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.73%E -4.59%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 00:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.73%E -4.59%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.48%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 01:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.49%E -5.23%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -9.03%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 01:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.03%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 01:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.03%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 01:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.72% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.28% | -0.3% | 2026-02-27 01:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-02-27 01:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 17:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-02-27 01:19 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30% | 2.7% | 2026-02-27 01:35 |