Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montana Grizzlies v Idaho Vandals

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 03:41 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montana Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 38.34%2.61fair odd
EV -0.305%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.191%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.33%38.42%39.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.472.482.6042.19%40.51%40.32%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Idaho Vandals (Visit)

Prediction 61.66%1.62fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.41%61.67%61.58%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.561.5966.67%64.78%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montana Grizzlies (Local): 38.34%; Idaho Vandals (Visit): 61.66%. For Montana Grizzlies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -0.305%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.305%E -0.117%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 03:39
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.07%E -0.416%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 03:38
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.46%E -0.566%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 03:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.46%E -0.566%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 03:39
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.22%E -0.872%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 03:32
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.22%E -0.872%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 03:39
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.22%E -0.872%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 03:29
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.22%E -0.872%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 03:39
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.37%E -1.34%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.05%E -3.28%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 03:39
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 03:39
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 03:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 03:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 03:39
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.05%E -3.28%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 03:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 03:29
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 03:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.91%E -1.98%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 03:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.91%E -1.98%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 03:39
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.91%E -1.98%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 03:39
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.91%E -1.98%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 03:39
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.91%E -1.98%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 03:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.91%E -1.98%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 03:39
Bet Right🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.91%E -1.98%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.05%E -3.28%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 03:30
SportsBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -5.29%E -2.14%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 03:39
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.97%E -1.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 03:39
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 03:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 03:39
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 03:39
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 03:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 03:39
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 03:38
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 03:39
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 03:29
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 03:29
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 03:29
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 03:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -8.36%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 03:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 03:39
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 03:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 03:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.12%E -3.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-12 03:39
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.12%E -3.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-12 03:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62%-0.2%2026-03-12 03:39
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-03-12 03:39
Novig2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.5%2026-03-12 03:40