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Monmouth Hawks v Stony Brook Seawolves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Monmouth Hawks (Local)
Prediction 62.48%1.60fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -4.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.35%62.45%62.50%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.521.521.5667.57%65.76%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stony Brook Seawolves (Visit)
Prediction 37.52%2.67fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.945%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%37.55%37.50%38.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.522.542.6041.67%39.66%39.29%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monmouth Hawks (Local): 62.48%; Stony Brook Seawolves (Visit): 37.52%. For Stony Brook Seawolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -2.46%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.53%E -1.62%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.58%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-26 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.53%E -1.62%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.58%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-26 14:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.53%E -1.62%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-26 20:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.53%E -1.62%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-26 14:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.53%E -1.62%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 14:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.71%E -3.13%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.46%E -0.945%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.46%E -0.945%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 14:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.21%E -1.24%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 14:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 23:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.65%E -3.74%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.65%E -3.74%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.65%E -3.74%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.65%E -3.74%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.65%E -3.74%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.65%E -3.74%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 18:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.65%E -3.74%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 21:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 14:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -6.90%E -4.63%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -6.58%E -2.64%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.90%E -4.63%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.53%E -5.08%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.53%E -5.08%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.48% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.52% | 1.0% | 2026-02-26 23:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-02-26 21:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-02-26 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 2.4% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |