Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monmouth Hawks v Elon Phoenix

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monmouth Hawks (Local)

Prediction 60.54%1.65fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%60.49%60.66%62.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.591.6266.67%63.38%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elon Phoenix (Visit)

Prediction 39.46%2.53fair odd
EV -0.556%
Edge -0.221%
Kelly -0.366%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.66%39.51%39.34%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.382.352.5243.48%42.06%42.55%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monmouth Hawks (Local): 60.54%; Elon Phoenix (Visit): 39.46%. For Elon Phoenix (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.52, with an expected value of -0.556%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -1.93%E -1.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 19:15
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.93%E -1.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 17:22
Everygame🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.53%E -1.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-28 19:09
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.53%E -1.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 19:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.53%E -1.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 19:45
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.66%E -3.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 19:49
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 19:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 19:49
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 19:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 19:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 19:49
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 19:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 19:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -8.45%E -3.64%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 19:49
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -8.45%E -3.64%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 19:49
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -8.45%E -3.64%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 19:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 19:49
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 19:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.74%E -0.699%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 19:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.74%E -0.699%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 19:19
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 19:14
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.11%E -1.69%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 15:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 17:50
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.35%E -2.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 19:09
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 19:39
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.32%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 15:10
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 15:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 19:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 19:04
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 19:49
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -8.05%E -3.46%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 19:49
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.77%E -4.40%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -0.556%E -0.221%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -7.38%E -4.82%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -5.69%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:44
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.38%E -4.82%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 18:14
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.38%E -4.82%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.38%E -4.82%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 15:10
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.38%E -4.82%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 15:10
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.59%E -5.69%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.35%E -0.538%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 19:49
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -9.19%E -6.13%K -18.39%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -2.53%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38%-0.2%2026-02-28 19:44
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-02-28 18:19
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-02-28 19:54
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-02-28 19:49
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%2.2%2026-02-28 19:49