Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monmouth Hawks v Drexel Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monmouth Hawks (Local)

Prediction 62.74%1.59fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -7.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%62.64%62.77%63.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.5369.44%66.23%66.23%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Drexel Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 37.26%2.68fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.760%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.55%37.36%37.23%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.532.552.6340.82%39.47%39.22%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monmouth Hawks (Local): 62.74%; Drexel Dragons (Visit): 37.26%. For Drexel Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.63, with an expected value of -2.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.01%E -2.62%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.00%E -0.760%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 18:46
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.01%E -2.62%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.00%E -0.760%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 18:46
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.01%E -2.62%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.01%E -2.62%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 18:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.01%E -2.62%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 19:00
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.01%E -2.62%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.64%E -3.05%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 18:59
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.64%E -3.05%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 18:46
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.64%E -3.05%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 18:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.64%E -3.05%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 19:00
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.64%E -3.05%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 18:59
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -4.64%E -3.05%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -7.22%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:59
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.27%E -3.49%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:59
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.27%E -3.49%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.27%E -3.49%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:59
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.27%E -3.49%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.27%E -3.49%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.27%E -3.49%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 18:59
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.27%E -3.49%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 18:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.27%E -3.49%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 18:59
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.27%E -3.49%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 18:59
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.89%E -3.93%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.93%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 18:59
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.93%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 18:59
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.89%E -3.93%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -7.96%E -3.22%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:59
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.66%E -6.71%K -21.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.66%E -6.71%K -21.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-03-08 19:00
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-08 18:59
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%4.9%2026-03-08 19:00