Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monmouth Hawks v Campbell Fighting Camels

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monmouth Hawks (Local)

Prediction 51.50%1.94fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.860%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%51.50%51.70%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.831.831.9155.56%54.56%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Campbell Fighting Camels (Visit)

Prediction 48.50%2.06fair odd
EV -0.567%
Edge -0.277%
Kelly -0.540%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%48.50%48.30%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.962.0553.48%51.01%51.02%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monmouth Hawks (Local): 51.50%; Campbell Fighting Camels (Visit): 48.50%. For Campbell Fighting Camels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -0.567%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -1.64%E -0.860%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.90%E -3.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 21:45
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.64%E -0.860%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.16%E -1.14%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 21:39
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -2.16%E -1.14%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 21:54
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.70%E -1.98%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 21:49
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.70%E -1.98%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.70%E -1.98%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.90%E -3.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 21:54
ReBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.22%E -2.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.90%E -3.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 21:50
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 20:49
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 18:24
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 21:25
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 21:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 21:44
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 21:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 21:44
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 21:45
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 21:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 21:44
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 19:14
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 20:39
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 20:50
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 21:44
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 21:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.45%E -2.26%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 21:44
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.45%E -2.26%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.93%E -2.52%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 20:50
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.93%E -2.52%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 20:50
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:34
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 21:19
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 21:19
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -4.93%E -2.52%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 21:44
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 21:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.567%E -0.277%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 21:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.567%E -0.277%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 21:20
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.567%E -0.277%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 21:44
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 20:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.90%E -3.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 20:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 20:49
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 18:30
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 18:29
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 21:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%0.2%2026-03-09 19:39
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-03-09 21:54
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-03-09 21:54
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-03-09 21:55
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-03-09 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-03-09 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-03-09 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-03-09 21:45