Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri Tigers v Tennessee Volunteers

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 02:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri Tigers (Local)

Prediction 37.38%2.68fair odd
EV -0.951%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.576%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%37.70%37.50%41.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.492.482.6544.64%40.15%40.32%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee Volunteers (Visit)

Prediction 62.62%1.60fair odd
EV +0.197%
Edge +0.123%
Kelly +0.328%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.49%62.30%62.50%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.531.531.6068.49%65.17%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri Tigers (Local): 37.38%; Tennessee Volunteers (Visit): 62.62%. For Tennessee Volunteers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.597. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.600, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.197%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -11.04%E -4.64%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV +0.197%E +0.123%K +0.328%G +0.001%4.5%2026-02-25 02:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -10.29%E -4.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.430%E -0.270%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 02:05
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -16.28%E -7.27%K -13.13%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -0.430%E -0.270%K -0.728%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 01:59
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.16%E -5.18%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.68%E -1.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 02:05
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.30%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.31%E -1.48%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.30%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.31%E -1.48%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 02:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.30%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.31%E -1.48%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 02:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.30%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.31%E -1.48%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 02:05
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.30%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.31%E -1.48%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.30%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.31%E -1.48%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 02:05
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.30%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.31%E -1.48%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 02:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.31%E -1.48%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 02:05
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.31%E -1.48%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 02:05
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.31%E -1.48%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 02:04
SportsBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -13.28%E -5.73%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -2.31%E -1.48%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 02:05
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -9.17%E -3.78%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -2.93%E -1.89%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-25 02:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.17%E -3.78%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.56%E -2.31%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 02:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.951%E -0.359%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.19%E -2.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-25 02:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.951%E -0.359%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.19%E -2.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-25 02:03
BetUS🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.70%E -0.646%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.19%E -2.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-25 01:59
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.82%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.19%E -2.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 01:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.82%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.19%E -2.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 01:59
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.57%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.19%E -2.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 02:04
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.84%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.19%E -2.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 02:05
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -1.32%E -0.502%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -4.81%E -3.17%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 01:59
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.82%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.81%E -3.17%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 02:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.81%E -3.17%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.81%E -3.17%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 02:04
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.81%E -3.17%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 02:00
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.951%E -0.359%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.44%E -3.60%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 02:03
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.07%E -4.04%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 01:59
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.07%E -4.04%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 02:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.07%E -4.04%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 01:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.07%E -4.04%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 01:59
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.07%E -4.04%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 01:59
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.07%E -4.04%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 01:59
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.29%E -4.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.32%E -4.94%K -15.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-25 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.29%E -4.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.32%E -4.94%K -15.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-25 02:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -3.57%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -8.57%E -5.87%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 01:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.80I 35.71%NM 35.78%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.22%-0.2%2026-02-25 01:59
ProphetX2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-02-25 02:05
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-02-25 02:05
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-02-25 02:05
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%13.7%2026-02-25 02:05