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Missouri Tigers v Kentucky Wildcats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Missouri Tigers (Local)
Prediction 41.71%2.40fair odd
EV +0.102%
Edge +0.042%
Kelly +0.073%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.00%41.57%41.87%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.192.272.252.4045.66%44.07%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)
Prediction 58.29%1.72fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%58.43%58.13%60.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.641.6863.69%61.16%60.98%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri Tigers (Local): 41.71%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 58.29%. For Missouri Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.398. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.400, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.102%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.102%E +0.042%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.102%E +0.042%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 11:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.102%E +0.042%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 11:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 16:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.23%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.24%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.23%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.24%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 11:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 11:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.49%E -1.96%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.99%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.90%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.15%E -2.74%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.15%E -2.74%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.15%E -2.74%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.15%E -2.74%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 14:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.15%E -2.74%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 07:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.15%E -2.74%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.32%E -4.60%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.15%E -2.74%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.15%E -2.74%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.99%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 16:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.99%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 16:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.99%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 16:08 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.99%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 16:08 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.99%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 16:08 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.99%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 16:08 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.99%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.24%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 16:08 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.99%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.24%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 16:08 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.99%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.24%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 16:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -7.82%E -3.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 16:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 16:07 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 16:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -8.66%E -3.95%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 02:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 14:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.77% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.23% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |