Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.71
assuming max odds 2.35
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri Tigers (Local): 57.20%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 42.80%. For Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.584%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.584%E +0.249%K +0.433%G +0.003% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV +0.156%E +0.067%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.56%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 16:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.56%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.56%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.56%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 16:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.56%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 16:36 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -9.06%E -5.69%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.77%E -4.15%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.77%E -4.15%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 16:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.77%E -4.15%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.55%E -3.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.98%E -3.71%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 16:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.98%E -3.71%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.98%E -3.71%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.98%E -3.71%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -9.26%E -4.37%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -9.26%E -4.37%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -9.26%E -4.37%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.12%E -4.82%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.12%E -4.82%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -10.54%E -5.04%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 16:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.02% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.98% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-03-07 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |