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Mississippi St Bulldogs v Missouri Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local)
Prediction 46.74%2.14fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.877%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%46.84%46.75%48.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.022.1051.28%49.45%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Missouri Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 53.26%1.88fair odd
EV -0.408%
Edge -0.218%
Kelly -0.469%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.43%53.16%53.25%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.781.801.8757.80%56.10%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local): 46.74%; Missouri Tigers (Visit): 53.26%. For Missouri Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -0.408%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.84%E -0.877%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.73%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.71%E -1.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 09:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:51 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 04:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.65%E -2.28%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.65%E -2.28%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.65%E -2.28%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.65%E -2.28%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.65%E -2.28%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.65%E -2.28%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.65%E -2.28%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -6.05%E -3.01%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.73%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 09:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 09:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 09:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 04:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -7.45%E -3.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -0.408%E -0.218%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 16:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| Novig◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |